• The Blue Jays are -140 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MASN | RSN | TVA

The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-140) on September 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Orioles are 71-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 74-72 ATS.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 6-5, 4.98 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 2-7, 6.07 ERA

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+12.40 Units / 138% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 45% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Josh Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+32.00 Units / 320% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.05 Units / 50% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+14.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+16.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 75-71 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -0.88% ROI).

• 71-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -6.65% ROI
• 73-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -2.4% ROI
• 70-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -5.92% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 74-72 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -2.37% ROI).

• 73-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -5.65% ROI
• 72-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -3.53% ROI
• 71-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -5% ROI

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 13-21 (.382) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 4-144 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 21-78 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 12-34 (.261) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 7-52 (.119) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .322 on breaking pitches against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting .194 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .357 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 51% of batters they faced (2,839/5,622 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,342 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,342 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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