• The Blue Jays are -155 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MASN | RSN

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-155) on September 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37 pm in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Orioles are 72-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 75-73 ATS.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 10-9, 4.19 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 10-5, 2.40 ERA

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+11.10 Units / 222% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brett Bateman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.90 Units / 50% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+13.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• Dylan Cease has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.55 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 76-72 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -1.29% ROI).

• 72-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -6.48% ROI
• 75-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.15% ROI
• 70-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -7.11% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 75-73 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -2.03% ROI).

• 74-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -5.75% ROI
• 74-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -2.26% ROI
• 71-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -6.18% ROI

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 6-206 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 12-35 (.255) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 7-53 (.117) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .478 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .761 (1,364 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting .195 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 41% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have 279 extra-base hits out of 916 total hits (just 30%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 51% of batters they faced (2,882/5,701 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,342 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,342 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 234 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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