- The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Braves Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Orioles / Braves TV Channel: MAS2 | FDSO | FDSE
The Baltimore Orioles (+130) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on Saturday, July 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Orioles are 38-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-50 ATS.
Orioles vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 7-7, 4.32 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Aaron Bummer 1-1, 2.83 ERA
Orioles vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -110 | +130 |
| Braves | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -110 | -155 |
Orioles vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+7.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+15.10 Units / 189% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+5.90 Units / 98% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
Braves Best Bets Today:
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 33-53 against the Run Line (-24.66 Units / -22.87% ROI).
- 38-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.3 Units / -17.69% ROI
- 37-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.93 Units / -13.75% ROI
- 47-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.33 Units / 5.59% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 36-50 against the Run Line (-13.07 Units / -13.12% ROI).
- 39-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.53 Units / -21.93% ROI
- 33-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -20.85% ROI
- 49-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.8 Units / 12.53% ROI
Braves vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Bummer (ATL) | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +110 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (21/134) against Dean Kremer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .288 (62-for-215) against Dean Kremer this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — ninth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to May 19th — Brennan Bernardino has the longest active streak at 10.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of .281 (210 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — sixth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (98/156) against Aaron Bummer since last season — 2nd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (152/249) against Aaron Bummer since last season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 65% (66/102) against Aaron Bummer in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (57/94) against Aaron Bummer this season — 5th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 95th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Orioles are just 0-45 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Orioles are just 2-40 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Orioles are just 13-25 (.342) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Braves (Ranks seventh runs allowed) today.
The Orioles are just 2-106 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Braves are just 29-7 (.806) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Braves are just 11-44 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Braves are just 10-54 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Braves are just 10-68 (.128) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .606 (889 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Orioles hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 178 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .312 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .233 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents are hitting .270 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 38% of the time over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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