- The Braves are -155 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Braves TV Channel: Roku
The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Sunday, July 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Orioles are 39-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-51 ATS.
Orioles vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 1-0, 2.05 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 4-7, 3.47 ERA
Orioles vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -120 | +125 |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | U 9 +100 | -150 |
Orioles vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+16.40 Units / 164% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 71% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+13.80 Units / 345% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 away games (+16.83 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 away games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+6.69 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+17.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 34-53 against the Run Line (-22.66 Units / -20.46% ROI).
- 39-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -14.61% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.08 Units / -13.57% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.33 Units / 5.48% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 36-51 against the Run Line (-15.07 Units / -14.83% ROI).
- 39-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.88 Units / -23.83% ROI
- 34-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -20 Units / -20.5% ROI
- 49-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.8 Units / 12.27% ROI
Braves vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 52% (269/522) on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (6-for-46) against Trevor Rogers in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — 97th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of just .152 (46 PA’s) against right-handed batters in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .296 — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 34% of Trevor Rogers’ slider (178/522) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
29% of Grant Holmes’ strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (152/410) against Grant Holmes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .378 (14-for-37) against Grant Holmes’ low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (21-for-142) against Grant Holmes when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Orioles are just 14-24 (.368) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Orioles are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Orioles are just 0-45 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Orioles are just 1-40 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Braves are just 11-44 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Braves are just 3-24 (.111) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Braves are just 29-8 (.784) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Braves are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .324 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Orioles hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 184 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .619 (914 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .659 (1,767 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .837 (4,824 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Braves hitters slugged .509 at home in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.60 (228.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.19 (371.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 44% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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