- The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Brewers
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-110) on Thursday, June 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Orioles vs Brewers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 37-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 29-33 ATS.
Orioles vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -115 | -110 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -105 | -110 |
Orioles vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 53.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 26 games (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+9.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Brewers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Brewers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Brewers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brian Anderson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Colin Rea | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 32 away games (+14.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 58 games (+13.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 away games (+7.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 away games (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+7.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 61 games (+5.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 37-24 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 13.32% ROI).
- 37-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 15.39% ROI
- 31-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 2.62% ROI
- 27-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -10.29% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 29-33 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -7.68% ROI).
- 34-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 5.38% ROI
- 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -17.21% ROI
- 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 7.73% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (46/147) against Kyle Bradish this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (25 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .395 — third Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .339 (100-for-295) against Kyle Bradish since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .905 (19 Total Bases / 21 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .413 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of .730 (46 Total Bases / 63 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .441 — 0 Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of 1.161 (73 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .769 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (11/20) against Colin Rea on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed an OPS of .735 (101 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .527 — fourth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Orioles are 20-11 (.645) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Orioles are 86-5 (.945) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Orioles are 16-4 (.800) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Orioles are 8-2 (.800) after a road loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Brewers are 23-2 (.920) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Brewers are 27-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Brewers are 26-1 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Brewers are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 61% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .309 (4,013 PA’s) at home since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Orioles are 24-7 (.774) against the run line (39.9% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Orioles hitters have drawn 79 walks in 744 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .220 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (602 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Brewers are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Brewers hitters have 614 strikeouts in 2,313 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .181 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 36 of 548 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have 72 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
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