- The Cubs are -155 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | MAS2
The Baltimore Orioles (+130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-155) on Friday, August 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Orioles are 50-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 52-56 ATS.
Orioles vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 4-1, 1.48 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Cade Horton 4-3, 3.71 ERA
Orioles vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 7 +105 | +130 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | U 7 -125 | -155 |
Orioles vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trevor Rogers has hit the Hits Allowed Under in his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Trevor Rogers has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 96% ROI)
- Trevor Rogers has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Trevor Rogers has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Rogers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.50 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Shaw has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 away games (+18.53 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 52 away games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 60 games (+8.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+14.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 61 of their last 103 games (+11.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 102 games (+11.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 48-60 against the Run Line (-16.76 Units / -11.93% ROI).
- 50-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.85 Units / -12.02% ROI
- 48-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.28 Units / -12.78% ROI
- 58-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.28 Units / 4.39% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 52-56 against the Run Line (-4.68 Units / -3.6% ROI).
- 63-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 5.86% ROI
- 56-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 4.11% ROI
- 47-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.75 Units / -12.33% ROI
Cubs vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cubs vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Horton (CHC) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .202 (34 Total Bases / 168 ABs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .403 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .149 (25-for-168) against Trevor Rogers this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of just .214 (182 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OPS of just .417 (182 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Horton has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.0 innings pitched — David Peterson has the longest active streak at 19.0.
Cade Horton has pitched 12.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 17.2.
Opponents are hitting .408 (20-for-49) against Cade Horton’s inside fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.
The last hit on a Cade Horton slider or sweeper was July 9th. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his slider or sweeper. — Brooks Raley has the longest active streak at 25.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are 48-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .959.
The Orioles are just 2-115 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Orioles are just 2-46 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Orioles are just 0-54 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Cubs are 63-45 (.583) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 33-5 (.868) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Cubs are 60-17 (.779) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of 1.051 (283 PA’s) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .385 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Orioles hitters are slugging .652 over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .447 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cubs hitters are slugging .459 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,217 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .326 (4,171 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 9% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents are hitting .266 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.85 (469.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Cubs pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 14 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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