- The Cubs (34-53) are -140 favorites vs the Orioles (44-44)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (2-1), 4.15 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (3-5), 4.12 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-140) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Orioles vs Cubs Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 44-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 43-44 ATS.
Orioles vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -140 |
Orioles vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cubs vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| David Bote | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Cubs vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| David Bote | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Cubs vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| David Bote | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -125 |
| Spenser Watkins | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 56-32 against the Run Line (+18.45 Units / 16.35% ROI).
- 44-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.6 Units / 17.08% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -12.83% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 5.65% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 43-44 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -7.43% ROI).
- 34-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -15.98% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -2.14% ROI
Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Spenser Watkins — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .245 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (4/17) against Spenser Watkins this month (2 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 13% (26 SO in 207 PAs) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has allowed a slugging percentage of just .100 (2 Total Bases / 20 ABs) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .397 — 98th Percentile.
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (151/335) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has walked 7 of 49 batters (14%) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (20/51) against Justin Steele with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (690/953) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Orioles are just 22-72 (.234) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are just 1-41 (.024) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Cubs are just 4-24 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Cubs are just 17-28 (.378) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Cubs are just 25-3 (.893) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .943 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .298 (6,192 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 42% at home since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .455 (1,769 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 41 double plays in 288 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .393 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Cubs hitters are slugging .669 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .565.
Cubs hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the heart of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
The Cubs have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 890 of 9,550 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.