- The Cubs are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-130) on Friday, June 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Orioles vs Cubs Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 43-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 37-31 ATS.
Orioles vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -115 | +110 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -130 |
Orioles vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+13.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+12.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+10.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 47 games (+21.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+12.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+11.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.60 Units / 70% ROI)
Cubs vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Cubs vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Cubs vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Cubs vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 65 games (+18.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 33 away games (+15.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 away games (+8.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 away games (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+10.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+7.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+4.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 42-26 against the Run Line (+14.55 Units / 16.8% ROI).
- 43-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.15 Units / 19.48% ROI
- 33-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -0.94% ROI
- 31-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -6.91% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 37-31 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 4.45% ROI).
- 31-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -8.48% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -3.19% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -5.7% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (51/294) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Cole Irvin had a strike rate of 76% (55/72) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 71% (736/1,041) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .296 (55-for-186) against Cole Irvin on low non-fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: .198 — 0 Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .040 (1-for-25) against Kyle Hendricks — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of just .218 (28 PA’s) vs left-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .679 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .074 (2-for-27) against Kyle Hendricks — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are 17-7 (.708) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Orioles are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Orioles are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 42-25 (.627) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are just 12-58 (.171) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Cubs are just 1-4 (.200) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 17-27 (.386) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Cubs are just 1-103 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Orioles are batting just .159 with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.14 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .167 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles have won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 40 of 601 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 37% against the Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.1 MPH (1,664 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 14% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Edwin RÃos (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
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