- The – are favorites vs the –
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Baltimore Orioles () visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs () on Sunday, June 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Orioles vs Cubs Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 43-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 38-32 ATS.
Orioles vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | O | ||
| Cubs | U |
Orioles vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 32 games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+10.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 47 games (+21.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+11.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+9.60 Units / 59% ROI)
Cubs vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Cubs vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Cubs vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 35 away games (+15.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 away games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+11.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 43-27 against the Run Line (+13.75 Units / 15.27% ROI).
- 43-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.15 Units / 16.82% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.11% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -6.85% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 38-32 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 5.02% ROI).
- 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -5.79% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -3.29% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -5.67% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .581 (43 Total Bases / 74 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .548 (23-for-42) against Dean Kremer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .345 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (62/212) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .296 (90-for-304) against Dean Kremer this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — fifth Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 27% (26/96) against Jameson Taillon this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 516 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of 1.120 (30 PA’s) vs left-handed batters — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .698 — fifth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (35/107 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are 18-4 (.818) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Orioles are 40-11 (.784) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Orioles are 19-89 (.176) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
The Orioles are 21-14 (.600) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are just 17-27 (.386) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Cubs are just 28-13 (.683) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Cubs are just 5-15 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Cubs are just 1-4 (.200) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Orioles are 142-89 (.612) against the run line (13.8% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .233 (4,669 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles hitters have drawn 84 walks in 828 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .404 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.13 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .165 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 45% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 41 of 619 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.1 MPH (1,715 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, D10
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Gunnar Henderson (Orioles): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
- James McCann (Orioles): Ankle, D10
Bet now on Orioles vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
