- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi
- Watch the game on ARID
The Baltimore Orioles (-140) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Orioles vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 0-0 ATS.
Orioles vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +120 | O 9 -110 | -140 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -145 | U 9 -110 | +115 |
Orioles vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 69.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+13.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+10.30 Units / 64% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
Diamondbacks vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Slade Cecconi | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -150 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 120 games (+25.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 65 away games (+6.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.43 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games at home (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.09 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.91 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+6.50 Units / 65% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a home run in any of the last 27.1 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Scott has the longest active streak at 54.2.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (23/62) against Kyle Bradish on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to August 6th — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 12.
Opponents are hitting just .179 (55-for-307) against Kyle Bradish’s non-fastballs this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 91st Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi has not walked any of the 20 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed an OPS of just .308 (20 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .647 — 92nd Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has a first-pitch strike rate of 80% (16/20) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 2nd highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has allowed an OBP of just .150 (20 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .278 — 92nd Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 40-25 (.615) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Orioles are 41-24 (.631) after a home loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Diamondbacks are just 108-21 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 123-13 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 30-14 (.682) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Diamondbacks are just 51-9 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .251 with two outs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Orioles are 28-13 (.683) against the run line (25.3% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Orioles are 179-114 (.607) against the run line (12.9% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 289 strikeouts in 1,423 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 27% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .173 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have walked 270 of 4,048 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Austin Adams (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D60
- Thomas Henry (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Drey Jameson (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Back, D10
Bet now on Orioles vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
