- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-135) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Orioles vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 36-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 28-29 ATS.
Orioles vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -115 | +115 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -135 |
Orioles vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 53.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+11.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+11.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Giants vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Giants vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Giants vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Giants vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 28 away games (+15.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+15.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 away games (+10.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 43 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 35-22 against the Run Line (+11.85 Units / 16.68% ROI).
- 36-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 18.9% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 3.04% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -10.77% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 28-29 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -3.4% ROI).
- 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -9.6% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -9.22% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 1.2% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (24/64) against Kyle Bradish on breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last seven games dating back to April 25th — tied with Hunter Greene for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (43/133) against Kyle Bradish this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has walked 4 of 25 right-handed batters (16%) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .264 (33-for-125) against Alex Cobb with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .166 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (117/190) against Alex Cobb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has struck out just 13% (16/125) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (58/94) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Orioles are 85-5 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Orioles are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Orioles are 9-17 (.346) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Orioles are 19-9 (.679) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Giants are just 17-8 (.680) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .786.
The Giants are 23-20 (.535) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Giants are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 91-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .233 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles are 8-1 (.889) against the run line (50.8% ROI) after a road loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Orioles are 22-6 (.786) against the run line (40.5% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.3 against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.
The Giants are batting just .235 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .303 (648 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Giants hitters are slugging .442 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Orioles have won 60% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .171 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Heel, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
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