- The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Giants
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Orioles vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 36-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 29-29 ATS.
Orioles vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -115 | -110 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -105 | -110 |
Orioles vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+12.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 65% ROI)
Giants vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Giants vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Adley Rutschman | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Aaron Hicks | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Giants vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Tyler Wells | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 29 away games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 away games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+8.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 35-23 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 13.8% ROI).
- 36-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 17.34% ROI
- 29-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 1.18% ROI
- 26-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -9.03% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 29-29 against the Run Line (-0.95 Units / -1.25% ROI).
- 29-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -8.03% ROI
- 26-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -10.85% ROI
- 30-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 2.75% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .220 (241 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .201 (134 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a BABIP of .138 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .197 (14-for-71) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani allowed a batting average of just .184 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 90th Percentile and .295 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 15th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 9 of 272 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .221 (131 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (86/460) against Anthony DeSclafani this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Orioles are 7-2 (.778) after a road loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Orioles are 36-22 (.621) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 15-4 (.789) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Giants are 92-2 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 27-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are just 17-8 (.680) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have scored 63 runs in close and late situations this season — most in MLB.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 68% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Orioles hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles hitters have drawn 78 walks in 733 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Giants hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.3 against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .303 (648 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Giants hitters have drawn 40 walks in 648 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Orioles have won 60% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .171 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Giants pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Wood (Giants): Back, D15
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Heel, Day-to-Day
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
- Gunnar Henderson (Orioles): Back, Day-to-Day
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