Orioles vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

Cleveland Guardians' Jose Ramirez celebrates after hitting a double during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in St. Louis.
AP Photo/Jeff Roberson
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  • The Orioles are +100 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Orioles vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
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The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.

This season, the Orioles are 10-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 12-10 ATS.

Orioles vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-1, 3.09 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 1-0, 2.66 ERA

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +180O 7 -110+100
Guardians +1.5 -220U 7 -110-120

Orioles vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+29.50 Units / 369% ROI)
  • Trevor Rogers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Trevor Rogers has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+28.00 Units / 280% ROI)
  • Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Daniel Schneemann has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.75 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 117% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+19.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 8-13 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -24.33% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -12.48% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.22% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -9.87% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 12-10 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 6.39% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 18.14% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -12.47% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 3.47% ROI

Guardians vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +500
Jose Ramirez +575
Gunnar Henderson +600
Taylor Ward +650
Rhys Hoskins +675

Guardians vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Steven Kwan 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Angel Martinez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jeremiah Jackson 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Guardians vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Johnathan Rodriguez 0.5 -295 0.5 +210
Samuel Basallo 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Austin Hedges 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Juan Brito 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Chase DeLauter 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles are just 1-86 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Guardians are just 2-9 (.182) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Guardians are 36-4 (.878) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.

The Guardians are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Guardians were just 73-5 (.936) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Orioles are batting just .250 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .330 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters slugged just .189 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Guardians hitters have put just 26% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians batted just .226 in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

7% of Guardians’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (56/806 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Guardians are batting just .191 in righty-righty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .269 against Orioles pitchers in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.51 (498.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Guardians pitchers had an ERA of 3.72 (706.0 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.