- The Orioles are +100 favorites vs the Guardians
- Orioles vs Guardians Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Orioles / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | MASN
The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Orioles are 10-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 12-10 ATS.
Orioles vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-1, 3.09 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 1-0, 2.66 ERA
Orioles vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +180 | O 7 -110 | +100 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -220 | U 7 -110 | -120 |
Orioles vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+29.50 Units / 369% ROI)
- Trevor Rogers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trevor Rogers has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+28.00 Units / 280% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.75 Units / 97% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 117% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 away games (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 30 away games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+19.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 8-13 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -24.33% ROI).
- 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -12.48% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.22% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -9.87% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 12-10 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 6.39% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 18.14% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -12.47% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 3.47% ROI
Guardians vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | +500 |
| Jose Ramirez | +575 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +600 |
| Taylor Ward | +650 |
| Rhys Hoskins | +675 |
Guardians vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Angel Martinez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jeremiah Jackson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Guardians vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Rodriguez | 0.5 -295 | 0.5 +210 |
| Samuel Basallo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Juan Brito | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Chase DeLauter | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Orioles are just 1-86 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Orioles are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Guardians are just 2-9 (.182) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Guardians are 36-4 (.878) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Guardians are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 73-5 (.936) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .250 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .330 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Orioles hitters slugged just .189 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 26% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
The Guardians batted just .226 in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
7% of Guardians’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (56/806 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.
The Guardians are batting just .191 in righty-righty matchups since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .269 against Orioles pitchers in the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.51 (498.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Guardians pitchers had an ERA of 3.72 (706.0 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 26% against the Guardians pitchers in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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