Orioles vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2022, 9:47 AM
  • The Guardians (67-59) are -150 favorites vs the Orioles (67-60)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (4-4), 3.96 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (10-5), 3.58 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-150) on Tuesday, August 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Orioles vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 67-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 67-58 ATS.

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -160O 8 -105+125
Guardians -1.5 +135U 8 -115-150

Orioles vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+13.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+12.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+12.25 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+14.95 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+13.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+13.70 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 30 games at home (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)

Guardians vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Austin Hedges 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Guardians vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +145 1.5 -200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Austin Hedges 0.5 -135 0.5 -105

Guardians vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Austin Hedges 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Guardians vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Quantrill 3.5 -160 3.5 +115
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 65 games (+17.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 37 away games (+15.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 away games (+13.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 86 games (+5.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 83-43 against the Run Line (+31.95 Units / 19.13% ROI).

  • 67-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +28.9 Units / 21.79% ROI
  • 57-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 64-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 1.03% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 67-58 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 2.46% ROI).

  • 67-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 7.09% ROI
  • 55-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -8.62% ROI
  • 61-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.43% ROI

25 of Spenser Watkins’ 53 strikeouts (47%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 15% (53 SO in 361 PAs) this season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 66 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 64 opportunities (2%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (94/622) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 58% when ahead in the count (sixth lowest)– 10th Percentile and 73% when behind in the count this season (ninth highest among qualified SPs)– 85th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (196/1,077) against Cal Quantrill this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 16% (94 SO in 590 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Orioles are 50-1 (.980) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Orioles are 26-8 (.765) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Orioles are 22-4 (.846) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Orioles are 29-6 (.829) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Guardians are 11-51 (.177) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Guardians are 12-48 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Guardians are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 17-2 (.895) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Orioles hitters have 348 strikeouts in 1,402 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Guardians hitters have just 878 strikeouts in 4,755 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 622 strikeouts in 3,534 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .337 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .986 (2,018 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 164 of 2,534 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 69 of 1,121 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 8 of 227 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (25 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Guardians vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.