- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Saturday, August 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Orioles vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 71-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 58-57 ATS.
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 72.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.85 Units / 98% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 23 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tom Murphy has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tom Murphy has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+13.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 61% ROI)
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Cole Irvin | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 113 games (+26.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 103 games (+23.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.14 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 57 away games (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 57 away games (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+13.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games at home (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+5.89 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 71-45 against the Run Line (+22.5 Units / 14.86% ROI).
- 71-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.9 Units / 18% ROI
- 58-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 3.55% ROI
- 49-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -11.75% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 58-57 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 0.85% ROI).
- 63-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -2% ROI
- 56-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -5.4% ROI
- 57-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -3.26% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (58/331) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a strike rate of 70% (437/627) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (12/24) over the last 14 days (4 games) — tied for 10th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 11th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (69/353) against Cole Irvin this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has a strike rate of 70% (1,445/2,049) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (464/678) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 5 of 281 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (722/1,034) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are 51-39 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are 69-35 (.663) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Orioles are 115-7 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .871.
The Orioles are 34-22 (.607) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are 71-10 (.877) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Mariners are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Mariners are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
The Mariners are 31-4 (.886) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .397 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
The Orioles are 40-16 (.714) against the run line (31.4% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Orioles are 169-106 (.610) against the run line (13.7% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .161 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .292 (531 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .174 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games on the road this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 298 of 4,250 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- John Crawford (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Bryan Woo (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Jarred Kelenic (Mariners): Foot, D10
- Aaron Hicks (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Daniel Coulombe (Orioles): Biceps, D15
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
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