- The Mariners (34-40) are -155 favorites vs the Orioles (34-40)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (5-4), 3.34 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-2), 3.12 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (+130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Monday, June 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Orioles vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 34-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 37-37 ATS.
Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 +100 | +130 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -120 | -155 |
Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 22 games (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 86% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.35 Units / 87% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -150 |
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games (+16.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 54 games (+13.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.20 Units / 69% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 47-27 against the Run Line (+15.05 Units / 16.09% ROI).
- 34-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 11.63% ROI
- 32-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -12.29% ROI
- 39-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 4.72% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 37-37 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -6.73% ROI).
- 34-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -6.61% ROI
- 34-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -9.25% ROI
- 38-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.98% ROI
Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .167 (10-for-60) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has a strikeout rate of just 27% (40 SO in 148 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a slugging percentage of just .283 (17 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .585 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 16 innings — Daniel Lynch has the longest active streak at 18.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 6 of 202 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 2 of 105 left-handed batters (2%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (30 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when behind in the count this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .582 — fourth Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed an OPS of just .497 (105 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .692 — 95th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Orioles are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Orioles are just 8-23 (.258) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 6-36 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Orioles are just 16-23 (.410) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mariners are just 15-18 (.455) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Mariners are just 2-31 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Mariners are just 33-34 (.493) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Mariners are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .923.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 217 strikeouts in 847 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 36% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles have won just 52% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Orioles have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have drawn 92 walks in 788 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Mariners pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mariners vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Oblique, D10
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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