Orioles vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 27, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (34-40) are -155 favorites vs the Orioles (34-40)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (5-4), 3.34 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-2), 3.12 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Baltimore Orioles (+130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Monday, June 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Orioles vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 34-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 37-37 ATS.

Orioles vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -160O 7.5 +100+130
Mariners -1.5 +135U 7.5 -120-155

Orioles vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 57.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 22 games (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 86% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.35 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 29% ROI)

Mariners vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Jesse Winker 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Mariners vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Jesse Winker 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Mariners vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Jesse Winker 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Mariners vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 5.5 +105 5.5 -150
Tyler Wells 4.5 +120 4.5 -175
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games (+16.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 54 games (+13.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+11.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+6.20 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 47-27 against the Run Line (+15.05 Units / 16.09% ROI).

  • 34-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 11.63% ROI
  • 32-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -12.29% ROI
  • 39-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 4.72% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 37-37 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -6.73% ROI).

  • 34-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -6.61% ROI
  • 34-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -9.25% ROI
  • 38-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 0.98% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .167 (10-for-60) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has a strikeout rate of just 27% (40 SO in 148 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.

Tyler Wells has allowed a slugging percentage of just .283 (17 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .585 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 16 innings — Daniel Lynch has the longest active streak at 18.

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has walked 6 of 202 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 2 of 105 left-handed batters (2%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (30 Total Bases / 30 ABs) when behind in the count this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .582 — fourth Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed an OPS of just .497 (105 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .692 — 95th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Orioles are 25-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Orioles are just 8-23 (.258) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 6-36 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Orioles are just 16-23 (.410) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Mariners are just 15-18 (.455) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Mariners are just 2-31 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Mariners are just 33-34 (.493) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Mariners are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .923.

Orioles hitters have 217 strikeouts in 847 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 36% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Orioles have won just 52% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Orioles have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

Mariners hitters have drawn 92 walks in 788 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .158 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Mariners pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Mariners vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Tyler France (Mariners): Elbow, D10
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Oblique, D10
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.