• The Orioles are +105 favorites vs the Mets
• Orioles vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Orioles / Mets TV Channel: MASN | SNY

The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-125) on September 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 72-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 68-79 ATS.

Orioles vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 9-4, 3.75 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Jonah Tong 2-1, 4.80 ERA

Orioles vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 55% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 47% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+13.00 Units / 162% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jared Young has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 120% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)
• Jared Young has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 away games (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+15.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 76-73 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -2.16% ROI).

• 72-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -7.02% ROI
• 76-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.54% ROI
• 70-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.6 Units / -7.67% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 68-79 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -8.22% ROI).

• 69-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.2 Units / -13.23% ROI
• 68-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -4.69% ROI
• 68-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -4.24% ROI

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 22-80 (.216) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles are just 19-29 (.396) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Mets are just 53-34 (.609) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are 47-6 (.887) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 7-62 (.101) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .477 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are averaging 3.98 pitches per plate appearance this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .230 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .306 (2,721 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .678 (1,433 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .300 (1,608 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 4.97 runs per game (373/75) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 51% of batters they faced (2,901/5,740 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Mets have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 28% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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