• The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Orioles / Mets TV Channel: MASN | SNY

The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on September 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 73-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 68-80 ATS.

Orioles vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 6-15, 4.02 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 5-7, 4.81 ERA

Orioles vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday has hit the Walks Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Samuel Basallo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• A.J. Ewing has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+21.00 Units / 233% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 87% ROI)
• A.J. Ewing has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+7.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.35 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+15.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 77-73 against the Run Line (-3.3 Units / -1.64% ROI).

• 73-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -6.3% ROI
• 76-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -1.23% ROI
• 71-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.6 Units / -7.02% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 68-80 against the Run Line (-16.4 Units / -8.71% ROI).

• 69-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.65 Units / -13.91% ROI
• 68-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -5.35% ROI
• 69-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -3.6% ROI

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Orioles are just 4-146 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Mets are just 53-35 (.602) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 34-41 (.453) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .478 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 51% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .229 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .490 (2,992 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,617 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have a winning percentage of just 45% at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.83 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 51% of batters they faced (2,922/5,777 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH this season (3,285 balls in play) — tied for 5th best in MLB

Mets pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.4 MPH (3,285 batted balls) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Mets have won just 27% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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