- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Nationals
- Orioles vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Orioles / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | MAS2
The Baltimore Orioles (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+118) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Orioles are 9-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 11-12 ATS.
Orioles vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 2-1, 3.43 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 1-2, 5.95 ERA
Orioles vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -118 | -140 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -150 | U 9.5 -102 | +118 |
Orioles vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.10 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+24.10 Units / 268% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 10 games at home (+10.35 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 9 games at home (+9.40 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+8.45 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+6.10 Units / 76% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 8-14 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -23.75% ROI).
- 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -27.55% ROI
- 13-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 27.33% ROI
- 6-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -33.81% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 11-12 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -8.64% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -6.78% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.6% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -8.07% ROI
Nationals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Nationals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tomoyuki Sugano has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (20/46) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
12% of Tomoyuki Sugano’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 0 Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has not struck out any hitters in 18 PA’s when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (9/25) over the past seven days (1 game) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (619/1,221) of the time in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (335/660) of the time in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .455 (20-for-44) against Trevor Williams this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (132 Total Bases / 264 ABs) when behind in the count in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Orioles are just 0-12 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Orioles are just 1-8 (.111) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are 73-27 (.730) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Nationals are just 60-90 (.400) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .035.
The Nationals are just 26-47 (.356) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Orioles (fourth best runs scored) today.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .224 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .369.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .184 against LHP this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .469 (224 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .676.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .201 (189 PA’s) against LHP this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 16% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 17% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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