- The Orioles (74-67) are -145 favorites vs the Nationals (49-93)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-6), 3.91 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin (6-18), 6.30 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on Wednesday, September 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Orioles vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 74-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 61-78 ATS.
Orioles vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -115 | -145 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -105 | +120 |
Orioles vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Wednesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 62 games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.15 Units / 38% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 33 games (+19.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+15.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games at home (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Nationals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Nationals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
Nationals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Nationals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
| Tyler Wells | 2.5 -105 | 2.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 away games (+16.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 38 away games (+16.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 41 away games (+14.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 74 of their last 129 games (+18.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 23 games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 88-51 against the Run Line (+27.35 Units / 14.91% ROI).
- 74-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +28.95 Units / 19.22% ROI
- 62-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.95 Units / -11.04% ROI
- 73-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 3.28% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 61-78 against the Run Line (-23.85 Units / -14.19% ROI).
- 48-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -11.15% ROI
- 69-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.1% ROI
- 63-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -8.04% ROI
Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .170 (8-for-47) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .337 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has a strikeout rate of just 32% (69 SO in 218 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (20/127) against Tyler Wells this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (59/297) against Tyler Wells this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .257 (73-for-284) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .336 (318 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .515 (85 Total Bases / 165 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OBP of .374 (658 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Orioles are 58-2 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Orioles are 7-59 (.106) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Orioles are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 14-26 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Nationals are just 15-80 (.158) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are just 22-48 (.314) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 9-180 (.048) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Nationals are just 49-78 (.386) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .265 (51 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .301 (7,691 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Orioles hitters have grounded into 22 double plays in 352 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles hitters have 372 strikeouts in 1,486 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 284 double plays in 2,226 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 31% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .492 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.80 (1225.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Orioles pitchers have walked 379 of 5,283 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Keibert Ruiz (Nationals): Groin, D10
- Nelson Cruz (Nationals): Eyes, Day-to-Day
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Rougned Odor (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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