- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Pirates
- Orioles vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Pirates TV Channel: MASN | SNPT
The Baltimore Orioles (-125) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) on April 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:12 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Orioles are against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are ATS.
Orioles vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 0-1, 3.86 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Orioles vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Coby Mayo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+21.60 Units / 240% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Coby Mayo has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+9.70 Units / 139% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.35 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+10.50 Units / 210% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+9.70 Units / 108% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 141 games (+30.03 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 84 of their last 142 games (+17.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 113 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 88 of their last 150 games (+27.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 151 games (+26.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 124 games (+24.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games at home (+14.29 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+13.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Pirates are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Pirates were just 5-65 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Pirates were just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Pirates were just 71-91 (.438) in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .723 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.
The Orioles are batting .329 with two outs this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .671 (3,064 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .300 (3,064 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters slugged just .186 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates batted just .121 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
The Pirates batted just .219 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 11% of the time in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 22% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 14% of batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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