- The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Orioles vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 2-1 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 +100 | +115 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -120 | -135 |
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Rylan Bannon has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eli White has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brad Miller has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Joshua Jung | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Brad Miller | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Gray | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
| Kyle Bradish | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 84 of their last 165 games (+23.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 100 of their last 165 games (+20.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 away games (+9.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 84 away games (+2.80 Units / 3% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 84 games at home (+6.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.70 Units / 114% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 165 games (+3.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 8.16% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -31.67% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 89.55% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 46.48% ROI).
- 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 83.56% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 26.09% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -33.33% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish had an ERA of 7.21 (63.2 IP) against division opponents in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish located his fastball up for a strike just 51% (266/518) of the time in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.
Kyle Bradish had a strike rate of just 60% (316/523) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
74% of Kyle Bradish’s called strikeouts were low in 2022 — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 95th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 26% (28/110) against Jon Gray’s curve and slider in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 28% (16/57) against Jon Gray on low breaking pitches in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Jon Gray allowed an OBP of just .247 (271 PA’s) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 25% (26/103) against Jon Gray on sliders in 2022 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are just 45-92 (.328) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Orioles were 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Orioles are just 29-112 (.206) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Orioles are just 45-157 (.223) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 30-46 (.395) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Rangers were just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 37-38 (.493) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
The Rangers are just 100-16 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have 917 strikeouts in 3,806 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Orioles batted just .224 against LHP in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Orioles hitters struck out 431 times in 1,710 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had a swing rate of 37% on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters slugged just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 30 days of the regular season (31 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,762 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .925 (376 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Orioles pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers walked 581 of 6,167 batters (9%) in 2022 — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Leody Taveras (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Leg, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D15
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Undisclosed, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Undisclosed, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Undisclosed, D15
- James McCann (Orioles): Undisclosed, D10
Bet now on Orioles vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
