- The Rangers (46-56) are -125 favorites vs the Orioles (52-51)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (7-8), 4.56 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Spencer Howard (2-2), 5.93 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Orioles vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 52-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 59-43 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +105 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -125 | -125 |
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 74.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+14.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.20 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 44 games at home (+19.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 47 of his last 63 games (+14.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 47 games at home (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Howard | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +120 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 83 games (+25.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 83 games (+23.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+11.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+7.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 91 games (+19.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 63 games (+10.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 67-36 against the Run Line (+23.85 Units / 17.61% ROI).
- 52-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.95 Units / 17.66% ROI
- 47-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -7.67% ROI
- 52-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.22% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 59-43 against the Run Line (+11.55 Units / 8.61% ROI).
- 46-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -8.02% ROI
- 48-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.69% ROI
- 46-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -5.69% ROI
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (98 Total Bases / 235 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .707 (259 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .475 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .226 (53-for-235) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (14/101) against Jordan Lyles — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Howard: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (15/74) against Spencer Howard — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
50% of Spencer Howard’s strikeouts are looking — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Spencer Howard has allowed an OPS of .995 (22 PA’s) vs left-handed batters — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .668 — 14th Percentile.
Spencer Howard has walked 3 of 22 left-handed batters (14%) — 10th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 14th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are just 10-25 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 23-31 (.426) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Orioles are just 12-24 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 14-4 (.778) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 35-8 (.814) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rangers are just 21-27 (.438) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Rangers are 26-5 (.839) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Rangers are just 12-23 (.343) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won just 59% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have drawn 241 walks in 3,317 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,992 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters are slugging .437 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (4,669 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (9,764 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 285 of 3,859 batters (7%) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 84 of 910 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rangers have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, Day-to-Day
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
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