Orioles vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rangers (46-57) are -155 favorites vs the Orioles (53-51)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-4), 7.01 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (9-2), 2.52 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-155) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Orioles vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 53-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 59-44 ATS.

Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -155O 7.5 +100+125
Rangers -1.5 +125U 7.5 -120-155

Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.40 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 45 games at home (+18.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.70 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 48 of his last 64 games (+15.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Corey Seager 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jonah Heim 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Corey Seager 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Jonah Heim 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Josh H. Smith 0.5 -145 0.5 +100

Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Corey Seager 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jonah Heim 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Martin Perez 5.5 -110 5.5 -130
Kyle Bradish 4.5 -160 4.5 +110
Martin Perez 4.5 -160 4.5 +110
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 84 games (+26.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 84 games (+24.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+12.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 66 games (+8.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 92 games (+18.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games (+11.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 68-36 against the Run Line (+24.85 Units / 18.11% ROI).

  • 53-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +20 Units / 18.47% ROI
  • 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.7% ROI
  • 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.65% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 59-44 against the Run Line (+10.55 Units / 7.81% ROI).

  • 46-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -8.99% ROI
  • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.79% ROI
  • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -6.52% ROI

Opponents are hitting .332 (69-for-208) against Kyle Bradish this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .558 (116 Total Bases / 208 ABs) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .396 — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of .947 (231 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .701 — first Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed an OBP of .390 (231 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .305 — first Percentile.

Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .140 (13-for-93) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.

Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .172 (16 Total Bases / 93 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .428 — 100th Percentile.

Martin Perez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 58% (209/362) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.

Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 23% (26 SO in 113 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 15th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Orioles are just 10-25 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 14-4 (.778) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Orioles are just 12-24 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rangers are just 35-8 (.814) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Rangers are just 13-46 (.220) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Rangers are just 43-51 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rangers are just 12-23 (.343) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orioles hitters have 317 strikeouts in 1,253 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .669 (5,104 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .300 (6,566 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,686 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (6,802 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,001 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (9,803 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.98 (1174.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 15 of 112 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 86 of 919 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 360 of 3,917 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Hays (Orioles): Side, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.