- The Rangers (46-57) are -155 favorites vs the Orioles (53-51)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-4), 7.01 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (9-2), 2.52 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-155) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Orioles vs Rangers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 53-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 59-44 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -155 | O 7.5 +100 | +125 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -120 | -155 |
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 45 games at home (+18.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+15.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 48 of his last 64 games (+15.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
| Kyle Bradish | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +110 |
| Martin Perez | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 84 games (+26.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 84 games (+24.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 81 games (+12.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 66 games (+8.40 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 92 games (+18.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games (+11.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 68-36 against the Run Line (+24.85 Units / 18.11% ROI).
- 53-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +20 Units / 18.47% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.65% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 59-44 against the Run Line (+10.55 Units / 7.81% ROI).
- 46-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -8.99% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -6.52% ROI
Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .332 (69-for-208) against Kyle Bradish this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .558 (116 Total Bases / 208 ABs) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .396 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of .947 (231 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .701 — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OBP of .390 (231 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .305 — first Percentile.
Martín Pérez: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .140 (13-for-93) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .172 (16 Total Bases / 93 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .428 — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 58% (209/362) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of just 23% (26 SO in 113 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 15th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are just 10-25 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 14-4 (.778) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Orioles are just 12-24 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 35-8 (.814) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Rangers are just 13-46 (.220) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Rangers are just 43-51 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rangers are just 12-23 (.343) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 317 strikeouts in 1,253 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .669 (5,104 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .300 (6,566 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,686 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (6,802 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,001 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (9,803 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.98 (1174.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 15 of 112 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 86 of 919 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 360 of 3,917 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Hays (Orioles): Side, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
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