- The Rangers are -140 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | MASN
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-140) on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 37-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 43-42 ATS.
Orioles vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 6-4, 4.05 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 4-3, 1.87 ERA
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -118 | +115 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -102 | -140 |
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+6.40 Units / 91% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 away games (+15.83 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+7.94 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (+7.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 86 games (+19.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 86 games (+19.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+4.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 32-52 against the Run Line (-23.11 Units / -21.74% ROI).
- 37-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -16.89% ROI
- 37-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.83 Units / -12.73% ROI
- 45-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.33 Units / 4.6% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 43-42 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -4.98% ROI).
- 42-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 31-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.2 Units / -29.2% ROI
- 54-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.55 Units / 20.35% ROI
Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -285 | 0.5 +210 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -175 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tomoyuki Sugano has walked 4% of left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (114/663) against Tomoyuki Sugano this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has struck out just 13% (25/188) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (69 Total Bases / 133 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — second Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .161 (5-for-31) against Nathan Eovaldi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .240 (279 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has walked 4% of batters this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 57% (138/242) against Nathan Eovaldi in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are just 2-105 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Orioles are just 12-24 (.333) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rangers (Ranks first runs allowed) today.
The Orioles are just 2-39 (.049) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Orioles are just 0-44 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 12-83 (.126) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Rangers are just 22-33 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers are just 2-24 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .314 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .610 (884 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Orioles hitters are slugging .433 against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Orioles are batting just .154 with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .151 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
The Rangers are batting just .221 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .625 (801 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .223 (1,660 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Batters facing the Rangers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 54% of the time this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
More MLB Reading:
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