- The Orioles are -118 favorites vs the Rangers
- Orioles vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | MASN
The Baltimore Orioles (-118) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-102) on Monday, June 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 36-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 42-41 ATS.
Orioles vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 1-0, 1.62 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 4-7, 4.27 ERA
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -115 | -118 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -105 | -102 |
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+15.75 Units / 158% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 82% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Justin Foscue has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 36 away games (+18.03 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 away games (+10.99 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 84 games (+21.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 84 games (+21.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+14.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 38 games at home (+5.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+3.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 31-51 against the Run Line (-23.26 Units / -22.38% ROI).
- 36-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.3 Units / -17.24% ROI
- 35-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.83 Units / -15.24% ROI
- 45-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.53 Units / 7.1% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 42-41 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -4.6% ROI).
- 41-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -6.2% ROI
- 29-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.2 Units / -32.11% ROI
- 54-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.75 Units / 23.18% ROI
Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gary Sanchez (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ramon Laureano (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Gary Sanchez (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin (TEX) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers did not walk any of the 27 batters that he faced in his last start — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 52% (265/509) on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 34% of Trevor Rogers’ slider (174/509) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .290 (72-for-248) against Trevor Rogers’ non-fastballs since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 97 total IP; League Avg: .224 — second Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted .315 (179-for-568) against Patrick Corbin in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .235 (78-for-332) against Patrick Corbin with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .309 (80-for-259) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .298 (208-for-697) against Patrick Corbin in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are just 12-39 (.235) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Orioles are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Orioles are just 12-23 (.343) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Orioles are just 2-104 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 13-59 (.181) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rangers are just 16-24 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Rangers were just 10-59 (.145) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .306 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Orioles hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 164 total hits (just 23%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .435 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .599 (834 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .153 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .603 (921 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,311 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.60 (228.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 6% of the time this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Rangers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 54% of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.27 (743.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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