Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (58-53) are -185 favorites vs the Orioles (59-53)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dayton Hall (-), ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (10-5), 2.24 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Baltimore Orioles (+150) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-185) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 59-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 51-60 ATS.

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -145O 6.5 -105+150
Rays -1.5 +120U 6.5 -115-185

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 33 games (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+14.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 60% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Jose Siri 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Roman Quinn 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Jose Siri 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Roman Quinn 0.5 -145 0.5 +100

Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jose Siri 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Roman Quinn 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shane McClanahan 7.5 -115 7.5 -115
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 92 games (+30.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 92 games (+28.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 89 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+2.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+2.30 Units / 5% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 74-38 against the Run Line (+29.05 Units / 19.66% ROI).

  • 59-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.35 Units / 20.56% ROI
  • 53-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -4.01% ROI
  • 54-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -3.56% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 51-60 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.18% ROI).

  • 58-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -7.82% ROI
  • 50-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.32% ROI
  • 54-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.4% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .143 (286 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (333/938) against Shane McClanahan this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .179 (69-for-385) against Shane McClanahan this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 96th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 33% (161 SO in 484 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 11-25 (.306) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 7-45 (.135) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Orioles are 11-46 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Orioles are 28-6 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 11-9 (.550) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 25-31 (.446) on the road this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Rays are 24-7 (.774) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

The Rays are 86-16 (.843) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 41% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Orioles are batting .348 against division opponents this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.

The Orioles are batting .475 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Rays are batting just .144 against division opponents this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Rays hitters have 18 strikeouts in 49 PA’s (37%) against LHP this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 138 double plays in 1,824 opportunities (8%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rays hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.95 (1219.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.

Rays pitchers have walked 52 of 992 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 704 of 10,087 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 145 of 2,454 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.