- The Rays (58-53) are -185 favorites vs the Orioles (59-53)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dayton Hall (-), – ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (10-5), 2.24 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (+150) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-185) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 59-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 51-60 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -145 | O 6.5 -105 | +150 |
| Rays | -1.5 +120 | U 6.5 -115 | -185 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 33 games (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+14.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+12.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Roman Quinn | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Roman Quinn | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Roman Quinn | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 92 games (+30.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 92 games (+28.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 89 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+5.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+2.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+2.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 74-38 against the Run Line (+29.05 Units / 19.66% ROI).
- 59-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.35 Units / 20.56% ROI
- 53-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.9 Units / -4.01% ROI
- 54-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -3.56% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 51-60 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.18% ROI).
- 58-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -7.82% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.32% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.4% ROI
Dayton Hall: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .143 (286 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (333/938) against Shane McClanahan this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .179 (69-for-385) against Shane McClanahan this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 96th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 33% (161 SO in 484 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 11-25 (.306) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 7-45 (.135) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Orioles are 11-46 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Orioles are 28-6 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 11-9 (.550) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 25-31 (.446) on the road this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Rays are 24-7 (.774) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .667.
The Rays are 86-16 (.843) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 41% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles are batting .348 against division opponents this month (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Orioles are batting .475 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting just .144 against division opponents this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Rays hitters have 18 strikeouts in 49 PA’s (37%) against LHP this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 138 double plays in 1,824 opportunities (8%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .374 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.95 (1219.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 52 of 992 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 704 of 10,087 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 145 of 2,454 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
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