Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (59-53) are -175 favorites vs the Orioles (59-54)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (9-8), 4.35 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (6-4), 2.95 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Baltimore Orioles (+145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 59-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 52-60 ATS.

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -145O 7 +100+145
Rays -1.5 +120U 7 -120-175

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 34 games (+16.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+15.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 60% ROI)

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Jose Siri 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Luke Raley 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jose Siri 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Luke Raley 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jose Siri 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Luke Raley 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Rasmussen 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
Jordan Lyles 5.5 +105 5.5 -145
Jordan Lyles 4.5 -165 4.5 +120
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 93 games (+29.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 93 games (+27.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 51 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 90 games (+9.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 36 games at home (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 74-39 against the Run Line (+27.75 Units / 18.62% ROI).

  • 59-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.35 Units / 19.55% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -3.16% ROI
  • 54-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -4.36% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 52-60 against the Run Line (-8.7 Units / -6.33% ROI).

  • 59-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -7.08% ROI
  • 51-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -5.44% ROI
  • 54-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -2.22% ROI

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .410 (107 Total Bases / 261 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .234 (61-for-261) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — first Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (46 Total Bases / 69 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — second Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .299 (288 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — first Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (34/95) against Drew Rasmussen on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.6 MPH on pitches away since the start of last season (169 balls in play) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 87.8

Drew Rasmussen has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 12 innings — the longest active streak is 14.

Opponents are hitting just .214 (12-for-56) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 97th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are 11-47 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Orioles are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Orioles are just 26-76 (.255) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

The Orioles are 42-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are just 48-7 (.873) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Rays are 39-6 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Rays are 34-22 (.607) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Rays are 5-37 (.119) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Orioles are batting .434 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Orioles hitters have 337 strikeouts in 1,352 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 20 double plays in 347 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 138 double plays in 1,837 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Rays have scored 1.72 runs per game (465/271) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 63% at home since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.88 (1101.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have won just just 15% of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rays pitchers have walked 707 of 10,127 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 146 of 2,463 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 271 of 4,129 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.