Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz reacts after his solo home run off Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Hyun Jin Ryu during the first inning of a baseball game Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Rays are -150 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MASN | RATV

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on August 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 59-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 69-50 ATS.

Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 7-11, 3.72 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Ian Seymour 9-3, 4.10 ERA

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -185O 7.5 -120+125
Rays -1.5 +150U 7.5 +100-150

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Encarnacio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+10.22 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.50 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Carlos Narvaez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.80 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Liam Hicks has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+8.30 Units / 119% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+18.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.95 Units / 63% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 63-58 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.35% ROI).

  • 59-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -6.23% ROI
  • 62-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.3% ROI
  • 56-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -8.74% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 69-50 against the Run Line (+27.8 Units / 19.12% ROI).

  • 74-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.9 Units / 12.24% ROI
  • 54-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -10.36% ROI
  • 62-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.15 Units / 1.6% ROI

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +310
Pete Alonso +340
Tyler O'Neill +390
Coby Mayo +425
Christian Encarnacion-Strand +475

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chandler Simpson 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Junior Caminero 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Liam Hicks 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Taylor Walls 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Carlos Narvaez 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Victor Mesa Jr. 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were 81-5 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .134 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .267 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .285 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .205 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (262.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .253 against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.08 runs per game (305/60) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strike rate of 66% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.