• The Rays are -165 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MASN | RATV

The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-165) on August 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Orioles are against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are ATS.

Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Brandon Young 9-3, 3.36 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 9-6, 3.10 ERA

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christian Encarnacio has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+13.72 Units / 137% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 42% ROI)
• Coby Mayo has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 64% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+11.00 Units / 138% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+13.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Orioles were 36-3 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were 45-9 (.833) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) after a win this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-3 (.700) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) after a win since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-3 (.700) since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Orioles have an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,191 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .206 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .285 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .267 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.03 (281.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.00 runs per game (310/62) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 50% of batters they faced (2,379/4,741 PA’s) this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 17% of batters they faced (761/4,528 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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