Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (49-40) are -125 favorites vs the Orioles (45-44)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-4), 3.27 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Luis Patiño (0-1), 13.50 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 45-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-47 ATS.

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -200O 7.5 -115+105
Rays -1.5 +165U 7.5 -105-125

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 66.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Anthony Bemboom has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 39% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 86% ROI)

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Harold Ramirez 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Randy Arozarena 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler Wells 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 69 games (+21.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 69 games (+21.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+14.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+5.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 65 games (+4.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 62 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 57-32 against the Run Line (+19.45 Units / 16.99% ROI).

  • 45-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.9 Units / 18.3% ROI
  • 38-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -12.69% ROI
  • 47-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 5.58% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 42-47 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -4.75% ROI).

  • 49-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -2.25% ROI
  • 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -8.58% ROI
  • 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 0.85% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (63/235) against Tyler Wells since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .144 (18-for-125) against Tyler Wells when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .167 (6-for-36) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 99th Percentile.

Tyler Wells has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of last season (210 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 87.0

Luis Patiño: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 34-1 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 10-7 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 21-5 (.808) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.

The Rays are 29-17 (.630) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Rays are 16-94 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Orioles are batting just .228 on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rays hitters have 729 strikeouts in 3,022 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Rays have scored 1.77 runs per game (439/248) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .464 (1,782 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Rays are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Orioles pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Orioles have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Rays pitchers have walked 137 of 2,259 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 797 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 830 of 11,482 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D15
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.