- The Rays (49-40) are -125 favorites vs the Orioles (45-44)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells (7-4), 3.27 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Luis Patiño (0-1), 13.50 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Friday, July 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 45-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-47 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -115 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -105 | -125 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Bemboom has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 86% ROI)
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Harold Ramirez | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 69 games (+21.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 69 games (+21.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games (+14.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+5.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 65 games (+4.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 62 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 57-32 against the Run Line (+19.45 Units / 16.99% ROI).
- 45-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.9 Units / 18.3% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -12.69% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.55 Units / 5.58% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 42-47 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -4.75% ROI).
- 49-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -2.25% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -8.58% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 0.85% ROI
Tyler Wells: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (63/235) against Tyler Wells since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (18-for-125) against Tyler Wells when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (6-for-36) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .336 — 99th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH on non-fastballs since the start of last season (210 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 87.0
Luis Patiño: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 34-1 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Orioles are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 10-7 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 21-5 (.808) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Rays are 29-17 (.630) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Rays are 16-94 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles are batting just .228 on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 729 strikeouts in 3,022 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rays have scored 1.77 runs per game (439/248) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .464 (1,782 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Rays are batting just .159 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Orioles pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Orioles have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.10 (967.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 137 of 2,259 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 797 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 830 of 11,482 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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