Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 17, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (50-41) are -150 favorites vs the Orioles (46-45)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (6-7), 4.37 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (5-5), 3.58 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on Sunday, July 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 46-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-49 ATS.

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -165O 7 +100+125
Rays -1.5 +140U 7 -120-150

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 64.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trey Mancini has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 68% ROI)

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Josh Lowe 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Harold Ramirez 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Josh Lowe 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Lowe 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Josh Lowe 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Kluber 4.5 -155 4.5 +110
Jordan Lyles 4.5 -350 4.5 +220
Jordan Lyles 5.5 -115 5.5 -115
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 71 games (+23.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 71 games (+21.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 29 games (+14.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+11.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 68 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+5.05 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+4.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 64 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+3.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 59-32 against the Run Line (+21.45 Units / 18.09% ROI).

  • 46-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.95 Units / 17.97% ROI
  • 40-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -10.3% ROI
  • 47-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 3.09% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 42-49 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -6.44% ROI).

  • 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -2.4% ROI
  • 42-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -6.28% ROI
  • 45-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.52% ROI

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .399 (81 Total Bases / 203 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .660 (33 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .212 (43-for-203) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .273 (113-for-414) against Jordan Lyles this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 10th Percentile.

Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Corey Kluber has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to June 25th — the longest active streak is 5.

Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (310/620) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (554/1,148) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (58/170) against Corey Kluber on inside fastballs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Orioles are 22-5 (.815) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Orioles are 5-37 (.119) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 30-18 (.625) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Rays are 31-6 (.838) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rays are just 41-5 (.891) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rays are 103-56 (.648) at home since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Orioles hitters have 272 strikeouts in 1,084 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .465 (1,831 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.

Rays hitters are slugging just .160 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.

Rays hitters have 730 strikeouts in 3,031 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have 899 strikeouts in 3,622 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .967 (644 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.063.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.05 (986.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Orioles pitchers have walked 50 of 809 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 817 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 664 of 9,349 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 175 of 2,807 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Yandy Díaz (Rays): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, Day-to-Day
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Félix Bautista (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.