- The Rays (50-41) are -150 favorites vs the Orioles (46-45)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (6-7), 4.37 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (5-5), 3.58 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-150) on Sunday, July 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 46-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-49 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | O 7 +100 | +125 |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | U 7 -120 | -150 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trey Mancini has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+15.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+13.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 68% ROI)
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Harold Ramirez | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Lowe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Kluber | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 -350 | 4.5 +220 |
| Jordan Lyles | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 71 games (+23.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 71 games (+21.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 29 games (+14.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+11.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 68 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+5.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+4.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 64 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+3.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 59-32 against the Run Line (+21.45 Units / 18.09% ROI).
- 46-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.95 Units / 17.97% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.2 Units / -10.3% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 3.09% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 42-49 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -6.44% ROI).
- 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -2.4% ROI
- 42-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -6.28% ROI
- 45-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.52% ROI
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .399 (81 Total Bases / 203 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .660 (33 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .352 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .212 (43-for-203) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .273 (113-for-414) against Jordan Lyles this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 10th Percentile.
Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to June 25th — the longest active streak is 5.
Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (310/620) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (554/1,148) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (58/170) against Corey Kluber on inside fastballs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 9-25 (.265) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 8-38 (.174) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Orioles are 22-5 (.815) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Orioles are 5-37 (.119) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 30-18 (.625) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Rays are 31-6 (.838) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rays are just 41-5 (.891) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rays are 103-56 (.648) at home since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 272 strikeouts in 1,084 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .465 (1,831 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .160 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.
Rays hitters have 730 strikeouts in 3,031 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have 899 strikeouts in 3,622 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .967 (644 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.063.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.05 (986.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have walked 50 of 809 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 817 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 664 of 9,349 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 175 of 2,807 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Yandy Díaz (Rays): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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