- The Orioles are +105 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MAS2 | FSUN
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Sunday, July 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 43-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 48-49 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-1, 1.53 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 6-7, 3.49 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -118 | +105 |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | U 9 -102 | -125 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+10.70 Units / 267% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+18.20 Units / 455% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 away games (+17.73 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 47 away games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 48 games (+7.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 away games (+7.69 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 49 games (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 82 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 51 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 51 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 40-56 against the Run Line (-20.06 Units / -16.26% ROI).
- 43-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -14.49% ROI
- 41-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.73 Units / -15.73% ROI
- 53-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.03 Units / 7.49% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 48-49 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.4% ROI).
- 52-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.58 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 40-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -18.96% ROI
- 55-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.75 Units / 10.88% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ha-seong Kim (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ha-seong Kim (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Trevor Rogers (BAL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .271 — 98th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OPS of just .367 (48 PA’s) over the last 14 days — 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .708 — 97th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed an OPS of just .113 (27 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .484 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Trevor Rogers when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .202 — 97th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a batting average of .271 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth worst)– 15th Percentile and just .176 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 95th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has picked-off 4 runners this season — 2nd most among among AL Starters — 94th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 37-7 (.841) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Orioles are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Orioles are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Orioles are just 0-49 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 35-4 (.897) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 113-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Rays are 9-109 (.076) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rays are 80-12 (.870) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .325 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .618 (972 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.
The Orioles are batting just .152 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .235 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Rays are batting .258 this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rays hitters have chased 46% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 24% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the past seven days (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 83 double plays in 621 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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