- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Sunday, July 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 60-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 53-49 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Rays | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 62.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+8.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 95 games (+22.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 48 away games (+19.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 away games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 away games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games at home (+13.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+11.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games at home (+9.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 58-40 against the Run Line (+16.15 Units / 12.88% ROI).
- 60-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.4 Units / 17.47% ROI
- 50-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 5.82% ROI
- 40-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -15 Units / -13.83% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 53-49 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 2.75% ROI).
- 61-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 1.85% ROI
- 53-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 2.75% ROI
- 45-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -11.74% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells has allowed a BABIP of .181 against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .252 (420 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has located his pitches away 59% of the time (1,000/1,698) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .252 (242 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 95th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (52/151) against Taj Bradley on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strike rate of 72% (267/372) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (56/180) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to June 21st — Johan Oviedo has the longest active streak at 6.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 33-24 (.579) after a road loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Orioles are 114-8 (.934) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Orioles are 24-14 (.632) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are 29-18 (.617) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are just 2-8 (.200) after a loss as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Rays are 23-9 (.719) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Rays are 49-2 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rays are 12-7 (.632) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting .403 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Orioles are 157-101 (.606) against the run line (12.9% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Orioles are 14-3 (.824) against the run line (58.2% ROI) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have scored first in 62% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rays hitters are slugging .455 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 68% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .780 (746 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 157 of 2,320 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 16 of 348 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays pitchers have walked 2 of 88 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 55% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Knee, D10
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Quad, D10
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D15
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
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