Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 20

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 20, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays are -175 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
  • Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Baltimore Orioles (+145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-175) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Orioles are 44-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-33 ATS.

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -140O 7.5 -110+145
Rays -1.5 +115U 7.5 -110-175

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 75.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+16.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Luke Raley has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taylor Walls 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Ramon Urias 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taylor Walls 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Ramon Urias 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Yandy Diaz 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taylor Walls 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Ramon Urias 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Yandy Diaz 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Bradish 5.5 +110 5.5 -145
Tyler Glasnow 7.5 +110 7.5 -145
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 68 games (+17.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 36 away games (+16.65 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 away games (+6.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 away games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 38 games at home (+21.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 37 games at home (+19.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 75 games (+19.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 75 games (+15.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+13.60 Units / 20% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 44-27 against the Run Line (+15.25 Units / 16.75% ROI).

  • 44-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.15 Units / 17.72% ROI
  • 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.09% ROI
  • 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -6.74% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 42-33 against the Run Line (+10.55 Units / 12.08% ROI).

  • 51-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.75 Units / 15.44% ROI
  • 40-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 6.77% ROI
  • 31-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -15.87% ROI

Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 7.27 (78.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has walked 1 of 46 batters (2%) — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has walked 1 of 46 batters (2%) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 5th best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (55/180) against Kyle Bradish this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Glasnow has walked 7 of 46 batters (15%) over the last 14 days (2 games) — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has walked 4 of 24 batters (17%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to October 8th, 2022 — Sonny Gray has the longest active streak at 6.

Tyler Glasnow has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 94% (16/17) of opposing batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 67% — 97th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Orioles are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Orioles are 92-5 (.948) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .591.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 31-7 (.816) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Rays are 9-8 (.529) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Rays are 9-14 (.391) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Orioles are 68-36 (.648) against the run line (22.1% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Orioles are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Orioles are batting .410 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Orioles are 27-9 (.750) against the run line (38.6% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .506.

Rays hitters are slugging .578 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 82% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Rays are batting .263 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rays hitters are slugging .500 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .157 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 28 of 453 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have won 71% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Rays pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
  • Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
  • James McCann (Orioles): Ankle, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.