- The – are favorites vs the –
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles () visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays () on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Orioles vs Rays Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 45-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 42-34 ATS.
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | O | ||
| Rays | U |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+17.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+10.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 59% ROI)
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
| Taj Bradley | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 69 games (+18.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 37 away games (+17.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 away games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 39 games at home (+20.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 38 games at home (+18.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 76 games (+18.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 45-27 against the Run Line (+16.25 Units / 17.57% ROI).
- 45-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.65 Units / 19.15% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -8.03% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 42-34 against the Run Line (+9.55 Units / 10.82% ROI).
- 51-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.1 Units / 13.9% ROI
- 41-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 7.87% ROI
- 31-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -16.98% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .226 (314 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed a .600 SLG vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– eighth Percentile and just .217 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth best among qualified SPs)– 86th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .227 (172 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .225 (142 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — 98th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (36/106) against Taj Bradley this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Taj Bradley has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to May 29th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 9.
Taj Bradley has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.2 innings he’s appeared — Aaron Loup has the longest active streak at 48.2.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 34% (63 SO in 185 PAs) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 19-4 (.826) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Orioles are 93-5 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Orioles are 44-20 (.688) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 6-1 (.857) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 31-8 (.795) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Rays are 23-6 (.793) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .550.
The Rays are 9-9 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 76-42 (.644) against the run line (15.4% ROI) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Orioles hitters have drawn 85 walks in 835 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles are 28-9 (.757) against the run line (39.4% ROI) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
The Orioles are batting .411 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .577 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 80% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .839 (580 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rays hitters are slugging .498 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .157 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Rays pitchers have walked 132 of 2,115 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Leg, D10
- Calvin Faucher (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Vertigo, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Austin Voth (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Boyce Mullins (Orioles): Groin, D10
- James McCann (Orioles): Ankle, D10
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