• The Rays are -155 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MASN | RATV

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-155) on May 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 21-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 27-18 ATS.

Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-4, 5.83 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 4-2, 2.29 ERA

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 53% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.20 Units / 61% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+19.30 Units / 241% ROI)
• Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Nick Fortes has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 51% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 74% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.20 Units / 15% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+16.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+13.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 21-26 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -9.91% ROI).

• 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -14.76% ROI
• 27-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 11.34% ROI
• 19-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -20.53% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 27-18 against the Run Line (+10.8 Units / 18.54% ROI).

• 30-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.1 Units / 28.73% ROI
• 23-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 4.08% ROI
• 19-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -13.61% ROI

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .638.

The Orioles are just 3-9 (.250) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (eighth in runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 5-22 (.185) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Orioles are just 20-51 (.282) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 5-11 (.312) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Rays are 5-1 (.833) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Orioles (28th runs allowed).

The Rays are 21-8 (.724) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Rays are 25-2 (.926) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .148 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .263 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .400 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 104 extra-base hits out of 391 total hits (just 27%) this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rays are batting .213 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 7.01 (86.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 1.66 runs per game (78/47) in late innings this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Rays have allowed 1.69 runs per game (76/45) in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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