• The Orioles are +105 favorites vs the Rays
• Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MASN | RATV

The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on May 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 21-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 28-18 ATS.

Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 2-5, 4.22 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Griffin Jax 1-2, 3.81 ERA

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+17.70 Units / 64% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.80 Units / 164% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.20 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+18.30 Units / 203% ROI)
• Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.55 Units / 64% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.80 Units / 110% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+18.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+15.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+11.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+8.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 21-27 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -12.5% ROI).

• 21-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -16.26% ROI
• 28-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 13.01% ROI
• 19-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -22.34% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 28-18 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 20.76% ROI).

• 31-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.1 Units / 29.84% ROI
• 24-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 5.99% ROI
• 19-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -15.64% ROI

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 5-22 (.185) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Orioles are just 3-10 (.231) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (seventh in runs allowed).

The Orioles are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 22-8 (.733) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Rays are 25-2 (.926) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Rays are 31-15 (.674) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 17-5 (.773) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .540.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .148 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .269 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .415 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .217 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .303 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — tied for best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 7.85 (94.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.92 (205.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.96 (422.2 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 57 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Rays have allowed 1.74 runs per game (80/46) in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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