• The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MASN | RATV

The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on May 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 21-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 29-18 ATS.

Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 1-5, 5.16 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Ian Seymour 2-0, 5.02 ERA

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 55% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+13.80 Units / 138% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 67% ROI)
• Shane Baz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.85 Units / 55% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+25.80 Units / 258% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.25 Units / 114% ROI)
• Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.10 Units / 61% ROI)
• Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 55% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 43% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games (+20.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+17.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 45 games (+16.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 45 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+8.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 21-28 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -13.92% ROI).

• 21-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -17.84% ROI
• 28-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 10.71% ROI
• 20-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.75 Units / -20.02% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 29-18 against the Run Line (+13.3 Units / 21.88% ROI).

• 32-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.1 Units / 31.06% ROI
• 24-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 3.71% ROI
• 20-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -13.4% ROI

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 5-23 (.179) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Orioles are just 3-11 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (10th in runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 2-101 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Orioles are just 15-62 (.195) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 18-5 (.783) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Rays are 32-15 (.681) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 23-8 (.742) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Rays are 26-2 (.929) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .147 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .408 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .265 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Rays are batting .216 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 7.59 (102.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 6.08 runs per game (152/25) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.95 (430.2 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 57 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .254 (426 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays have allowed 1.72 runs per game (81/47) in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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