• The Red Sox are -150 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Orioles / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | MASN

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-150) on July 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Orioles are 49-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 47-47 ATS.

Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 6-9, 3.64 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 5-6, 3.12 ERA

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in his last 9 games (+10.30 Units / 110% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+9.40 Units / 134% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+19.50 Units / 244% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 46% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.60 Units / 44% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 78% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 away games (+6.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games (+15.80 Units / 63% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+14.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+14.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 22 games (+14.60 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 22 games (+14.25 Units / 54% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 50-49 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.43% ROI).

• 49-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -5.72% ROI
• 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 2.18% ROI
• 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -10.93% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 47-47 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 0.57% ROI).

• 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -6.63% ROI
• 44-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -10.71% ROI
• 50-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 1.3% ROI

Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 3-6 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles were 36-3 (.923) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.

The Orioles were 81-5 (.942) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Red Sox are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Red Sox are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .176 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .151 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .235 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging .253 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,003 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .437 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .178 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.83 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (433.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 9% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after their offense scores this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Orioles vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.