Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 22

Boston Red Sox's Jarren Duran plays against the Toronto Blue Jays during the first inning of a baseball game, Saturday, Aug. 5, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
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  • The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Orioles / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | MASN

The Baltimore Orioles (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on July 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Orioles are 49-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 47-48 ATS.

Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 1-2, 4.21 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 5-3, 2.35 ERA

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -185O 9 -120+120
Red Sox -1.5 +150U 9 +100-145

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.06 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.50 Units / 206% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jake Bennett has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 9 games (+9.45 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+5.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 21 games (+16.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games (+15.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 23 games (+15.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+13.70 Units / 54% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 51-49 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.35% ROI).

  • 49-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -6.5% ROI
  • 53-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 3.05% ROI
  • 45-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -13 Units / -11.74% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 47-48 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.24% ROI).

  • 51-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -5.73% ROI
  • 45-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -9.68% ROI
  • 50-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.37% ROI

Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Wilyer Abreu +270
Willson Contreras +270
Pete Alonso +300
Tyler O'Neill +340
Coby Mayo +380

Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Willson Contreras 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Taylor Ward 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Pete Alonso 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Anthony Seigler 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Leody Taveras 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jarren Duran 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Coby Mayo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Orioles are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Red Sox are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 22-27 (.449) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Red Sox are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Red Sox are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Orioles are batting just .225 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .474 (2,077 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of 43% this season — tied for best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,003 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,003 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .378 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .685 (2,706 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.38 (236.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 9% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (433.1 IP) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.56 runs per game (178/50) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.