Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 2

Boston Red Sox's Masataka Yoshida bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Minnesota Twins, Tuesday, June 20, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Red Sox are -145 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | MASN

The Baltimore Orioles (+118) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on June 2, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Orioles are 28-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 25-31 ATS.

Orioles vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 2-5, 4.39 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 5-2, 2.94 ERA

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -175O 8.5 -110+118
Red Sox -1.5 +145U 8.5 -110-145

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Shane Baz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Tyler O’Neill has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+11.00 Units / 138% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+24.50 Units / 245% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+15.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.15 Units / 39% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 28-32 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -5.55% ROI).

  • 28-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -11.33% ROI
  • 34-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.4 Units / 11.19% ROI
  • 24-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -20.41% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 25-31 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -7.69% ROI).

  • 25-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -21.67% ROI
  • 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -7.92% ROI
  • 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -1.64% ROI

Red Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +375
Willson Contreras +400
Wilyer Abreu +425
Jarren Duran +475
Tyler O'Neill +475

Red Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jarren Duran 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Red Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jackson Holliday 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Orioles are just 5-26 (.161) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Orioles are 8-2 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .648.

The Orioles are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 22-54 (.289) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Red Sox are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Red Sox are just 7-13 (.350) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Orioles (28th runs allowed).

The Red Sox are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Red Sox are just 9-19 (.321) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .461 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .147 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .445 (1,208 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .234 (1,208 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .275 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .326 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .344 (550 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .259 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (221.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 6.04 runs per game (157/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 5.22 runs per game (313/60) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .261 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.88 runs per game (51/58) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.