- The Reds (39-61) are -125 favorites vs the Orioles (51-50)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (1-1), 6.15 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-3), 4.73 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Orioles vs Reds Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 51-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 48-52 ATS.
Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Reds | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s matchup with 71.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+17.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+14.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 54 games (+18.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 58 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Donovan Solano | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo | 6.5 -165 | 6.5 +115 |
| Austin Voth | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 81 games (+23.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 81 games (+22.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 63 games (+7.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+15.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 43% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 65-36 against the Run Line (+21.85 Units / 16.52% ROI).
- 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.35 Units / 17.43% ROI
- 46-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -7.81% ROI
- 51-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.35% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-52 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -7.69% ROI).
- 39-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -11.27% ROI
- 54-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 3.71% ROI
- 45-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -13.28% ROI
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .278 (30-for-108) against Austin Voth with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .158 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .517 (31-for-60) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .221 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .371 (46-for-124) against Austin Voth this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .705 (114 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .471 — first Percentile.
Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 49% of Nick Lodolo’s pitches (56/115) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .424 (85 PA’s) this month (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .308 — third Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 60% (212/355) this month (4 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Nick Lodolo allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (4 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters — 4th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .420 — 95th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Orioles are 10-43 (.189) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Orioles are just 12-24 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 23-6 (.793) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Orioles are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Reds are just 29-7 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Reds are just 12-48 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Reds are just 16-29 (.356) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Reds are just 27-7 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .293 (4,983 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 39% since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have chased 31% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .281 (445 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Reds are batting just .138 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Reds are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .221 (56 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.91 (1058.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.98 (1174.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 996 of 10,071 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 55 double plays in 785 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 209 of 2,320 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D10
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
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