Orioles vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 31, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Reds (39-61) are -125 favorites vs the Orioles (51-50)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (1-1), 6.15 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (3-3), 4.73 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-125) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Orioles vs Reds Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 51-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 48-52 ATS.

Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -190O 8.5 +100+105
Reds -1.5 +155U 8.5 -120-125

Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s matchup with 71.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+17.10 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+14.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+9.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 54 games (+18.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+17.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 58 games (+13.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)

Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Donovan Solano 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jake Fraley 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Joey Votto 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Jonathan India 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Donovan Solano 1.5 +195 1.5 -275
Jake Fraley 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Joey Votto 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jonathan India 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Kyle Farmer 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Reds vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Donovan Solano 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Jake Fraley 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Joey Votto 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Jonathan India 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Lodolo 6.5 -165 6.5 +115
Austin Voth 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 81 games (+23.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 81 games (+22.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 63 games (+7.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+15.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 74 games (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+7.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 43% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 65-36 against the Run Line (+21.85 Units / 16.52% ROI).

  • 51-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.35 Units / 17.43% ROI
  • 46-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -7.81% ROI
  • 51-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.35% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 48-52 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -7.69% ROI).

  • 39-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.1 Units / -11.27% ROI
  • 54-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 3.71% ROI
  • 45-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -13.28% ROI

Opponents are hitting .278 (30-for-108) against Austin Voth with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .158 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .517 (31-for-60) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .221 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .371 (46-for-124) against Austin Voth this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.

Austin Voth has allowed an OPS of .705 (114 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .471 — first Percentile.

Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 49% of Nick Lodolo’s pitches (56/115) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has allowed an OBP of .424 (85 PA’s) this month (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .308 — third Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 60% (212/355) this month (4 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Nick Lodolo allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (4 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters — 4th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .420 — 95th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Orioles are 10-43 (.189) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Orioles are just 12-24 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 23-6 (.793) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Orioles are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Reds are just 29-7 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Reds are just 12-48 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Reds are just 16-29 (.356) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Reds are just 27-7 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .293 (4,983 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 39% since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Orioles hitters have chased 31% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .281 (445 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Reds are batting just .138 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this month (21 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Reds are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .221 (56 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.91 (1058.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.98 (1174.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

Reds pitchers have walked 996 of 10,071 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 55 double plays in 785 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 209 of 2,320 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.