• The Orioles are -110 favorites vs the Reds
• Orioles vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Orioles / Reds TV Channel: PEAC | NBCX

The Baltimore Orioles (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Orioles are 42-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 47-40 ATS.

Orioles vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 5-8, 3.82 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 2-2, 5.02 ERA

Orioles vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Kyle Bradish has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• Tyler O’Neill has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 37% ROI)
• Spencer Steer has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+6.85 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+7.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 45 games (+3.55 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.85 Units / 11% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 44-45 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -2.59% ROI).

• 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -9.69% ROI
• 50-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 9.21% ROI
• 37-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -18.03% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 47-40 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -4.09% ROI).

• 40-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -7.69% ROI
• 51-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.15 Units / 11.44% ROI
• 36-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.6 Units / -20.38% ROI

Reds vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Orioles are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 9-39 (.188) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Orioles are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Reds are just 3-12 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are 5-41 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Reds are just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Reds are just 14-61 (.187) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters are slugging just .471 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .153 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .477 (1,847 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .206 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .219 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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