• The Royals are -140 favorites vs the Orioles
• Orioles vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Orioles / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | MASN

The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-140) on April 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Orioles are 11-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 9-13 ATS.

Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-2, 4.64 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Kris Bubic 2-1, 4.03 ERA

Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Orioles vs Royals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeremiah Jackson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+27.50 Units / 275% ROI)
• Shane Baz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 10 away games (+10.40 Units / 69% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.20 Units / 127% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 24% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+20.95 Units / 66% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 46% ROI)
• Kyle Isbel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 games at home (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 away games (+3.30 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.65 Units / 4% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.55 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+3.35 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 41% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 9-14 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -22.84% ROI).

• 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -11.56% ROI
• 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 7.72% ROI
• 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -17.32% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-13 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -23.96% ROI).

• 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -40.6% ROI
• 8-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -33.53% ROI
• 15-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.35 Units / 25.3% ROI

Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Royals are just 7-4 (.636) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Royals are just 1-11 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Royals are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

The Orioles are batting just .129 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .196 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .308 (5,004 PA’s) against RHP since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .170 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Orioles pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers allowed an OBP of .352 (1,434 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have walked 21% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 15% of batters over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (19 games) — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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