Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 22

Kansas City Royals' Vinnie Pasquantino at bat during the first inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays, Monday, April 3, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
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  • The Royals are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Orioles vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | MASN | ESUN

The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-130) on April 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Orioles are 11-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 9-14 ATS.

Orioles vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 0-2, 6.07 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 2-0, 1.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -190O 9.5 -120+110
Royals -1.5 +155U 9.5 +100-130

Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.00 Units / 425% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+11.25 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+20.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+13.50 Units / 193% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+2.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+3.00 Units / 5% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 10-14 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -18.21% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -14.55% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 11.2% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -20.75% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 9-14 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -26.24% ROI).

  • 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -35.46% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -28.38% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 20.04% ROI

Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +310
Gunnar Henderson +340
Vinnie Pasquantino +340
Salvador Perez +400
Taylor Ward +400

Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jeremiah Jackson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Salvador Perez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Taylor Ward 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Pete Alonso 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Coby Mayo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Taylor Ward 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jeremiah Jackson 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Pete Alonso 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Orioles are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 2-87 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Royals are just 8-4 (.667) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Royals are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Royals are just 8-12 (.400) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Orioles are batting just .232 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .135 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .190 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals hitters had an OPS of just .892 (1,140 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 11% of the time in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 21% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 15% of batters over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.