- The Orioles (24-34) are -115 favorites vs the Royals (19-37)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Bruce Zimmermann (2-4), 4.866 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (0-3), 4.618 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Orioles vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 24-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-34 ATS.
Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -115 | -115 |
| Royals | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -105 | -105 |
Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+9.05 Units / 128% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.50 Units / 121% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 38 games (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 34-24 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 5.33% ROI).
- 24-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 1.09% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -11.73% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.19% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 22-34 against the Run Line (-22.85 Units / -29.71% ROI).
- 19-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.2 Units / -25.98% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 6.2% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -14.94% ROI
Bruce Zimmermann: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bruce Zimmermann has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (55 Total Bases / 110 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.
Bruce Zimmermann has allowed a slugging percentage of .718 (74 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on the road this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.
Bruce Zimmermann has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 40 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Bruce Zimmermann has allowed an OPS of 1.140 (83 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .707 — second Percentile.
Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Jon Heasley — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (11/40) against Jon Heasley — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (20/99) against Jon Heasley — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 60% (114/191) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Orioles are just 25-143 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Orioles are 6-31 (.162) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Orioles are just 9-19 (.321) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 0-19 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Royals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Royals are just 11-19 (.367) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Royals are just 7-30 (.189) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Orioles hitters have 188 strikeouts in 729 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 34% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 48% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Royals hitters have drawn 159 walks in 2,230 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have drawn 427 walks in 5,851 PA’s (7%) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .410 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 58 double plays in 413 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Royals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Gabriel Speier (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Cameron Gallagher (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D10
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
- Matthew Peacock (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
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