Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 10

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Orioles (24-34) are -115 favorites vs the Royals (19-37)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Bruce Zimmermann (2-4), 4.866 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (0-3), 4.618 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Baltimore Orioles (-115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Friday, June 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Orioles vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 24-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 22-34 ATS.

Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +135O 9.5 -115-115
Royals +1.5 -165U 9.5 -105-105

Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+9.05 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Rougned Odor has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.50 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.30 Units / 87% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 38 games (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 34-24 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 5.33% ROI).

  • 24-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 1.09% ROI
  • 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -11.73% ROI
  • 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.19% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 22-34 against the Run Line (-22.85 Units / -29.71% ROI).

  • 19-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.2 Units / -25.98% ROI
  • 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 6.2% ROI
  • 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -14.94% ROI

Bruce Zimmermann has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (55 Total Bases / 110 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.

Bruce Zimmermann has allowed a slugging percentage of .718 (74 Total Bases / 103 ABs) on the road this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.

Bruce Zimmermann has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 40 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.

Bruce Zimmermann has allowed an OPS of 1.140 (83 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .707 — second Percentile.

Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 13% (2/15) against Jon Heasley — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (11/40) against Jon Heasley — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (20/99) against Jon Heasley — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.

Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 60% (114/191) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Orioles are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Orioles are just 25-143 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Orioles are 6-31 (.162) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Orioles are just 9-19 (.321) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Royals are just 0-19 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Royals are just 1-31 (.031) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Royals are just 11-19 (.367) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Royals are just 7-30 (.189) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have 188 strikeouts in 729 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Orioles have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 34% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Royals have won just 48% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Royals hitters have drawn 159 walks in 2,230 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals hitters have drawn 427 walks in 5,851 PA’s (7%) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .410 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 58 double plays in 413 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Royals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Donald Greinke (Royals): Flexor, D15
  • Amir Garrett (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Gabriel Speier (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Cameron Gallagher (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D10
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
  • Matthew Peacock (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.