Orioles vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Royals (20-38) are -135 favorites vs the Orioles (25-35)
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (0-1), 6.231 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (1-7), 4.185 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Orioles vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Orioles are 25-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 23-35 ATS.

Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles+1.5 -165O 10 -115+110
Royals -1.5 +140U 10 -105-135

Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Orioles and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 36 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 71% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+6.90 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+6.70 Units / 134% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+12.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+4.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 23% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 35-25 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 5.71% ROI).

  • 25-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.81% ROI
  • 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -11.36% ROI
  • 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 3.9% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 23-35 against the Run Line (-23.45 Units / -29.28% ROI).

  • 20-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -25.17% ROI
  • 31-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 5.99% ROI
  • 25-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -14.56% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brad Keller has struck out just 13% (19/151) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (12/79) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 13% (37 SO in 276 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 42 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Orioles are just 9-21 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 10-20 (.333) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Orioles are just 6-19 (.240) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Royals are just 0-19 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.

The Royals are just 20-33 (.377) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Royals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Royals are just 12-20 (.375) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Orioles have won just 54% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Orioles have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

Royals hitters have just 430 strikeouts in 2,256 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have drawn 159 walks in 2,256 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals hitters have just 531 strikeouts in 2,717 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 59 double plays in 425 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Donald Greinke (Royals): Flexor, D15
  • Gabriel Speier (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Cameron Gallagher (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
  • Matthew Peacock (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.