- The Royals (20-38) are -135 favorites vs the Orioles (25-35)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (0-1), 6.231 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (1-7), 4.185 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Orioles vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 25-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 23-35 ATS.
Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | O 10 -115 | +110 |
| Royals | -1.5 +140 | U 10 -105 | -135 |
Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 36 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 70% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 71% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+6.90 Units / 77% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+6.70 Units / 134% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+12.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+4.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 35-25 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 5.71% ROI).
- 25-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.81% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -11.36% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 3.9% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 23-35 against the Run Line (-23.45 Units / -29.28% ROI).
- 20-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -25.17% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 5.99% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -14.56% ROI
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has struck out just 13% (19/151) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (12/79) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 13% (37 SO in 276 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 42 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are just 9-21 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 10-20 (.333) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are just 6-19 (.240) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 0-19 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Royals are just 20-33 (.377) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Royals are just 1-32 (.030) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Royals are just 12-20 (.375) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles have won just 54% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Orioles have won just 50% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 430 strikeouts in 2,256 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn 159 walks in 2,256 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have just 531 strikeouts in 2,717 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 59 double plays in 425 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 11% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Gabriel Speier (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Cameron Gallagher (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
- Matthew Peacock (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
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