- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Royals starting pitcher: Ryan Yarbrough
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Baltimore Orioles (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Tuesday, May 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Orioles vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 19-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 10-19 ATS.
Orioles vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 -105 | O 9 -120 | -175 |
| Royals | +1.5 -115 | U 9 +100 | +145 |
Orioles vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 64.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+10.00 Units / 143% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
Royals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Royals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Royals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Ryan Yarbrough | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +125 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 16-12 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 9.7% ROI).
- 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 21.44% ROI
- 16-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 13.25% ROI
- 11-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -20.26% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 10-19 against the Run Line (-12.35 Units / -34.69% ROI).
- 7-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -40.31% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -1.86% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -7.77% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (25/170) against Tyler Wells since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has allowed an OBP of just .200 (105 PA’s) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Tyler Wells’ elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Wells has thrown fastballs up 89% of the time (48/54) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Yarbrough has a strikeout rate of just 16% (7 SO in 45 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .237 (49-for-207) against Ryan Yarbrough with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .156 — first Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough has allowed an OBP of .323 (235 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough has a strikeout rate of just 29% (68 SO in 235 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Orioles are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Orioles are 22-28 (.440) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Orioles are 72-3 (.960) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .880.
The Orioles are 32-9 (.780) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .654.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Royals are just 5-51 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .346.
The Royals are just 1-12 (.077) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Royals are just 4-9 (.308) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Royals are just 4-98 (.039) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .120.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 69% at home this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .347 (593 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Orioles are batting just .157 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Orioles are batting .412 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .256 (458 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 8% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .554 (458 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,058 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 55% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 15 of 101 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 51% of the time after an opposing score this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
Bet now on Orioles vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
