- The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (-150) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Thursday, April 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Orioles vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 16-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 13-10 ATS.
Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -110 | -150 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -110 | +125 |
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.30 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 70% ROI)
Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 13-11 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 3.44% ROI).
- 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 21.22% ROI
- 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 8.11% ROI
- 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -15.28% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 3.62% ROI).
- 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 0.22% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -20.43% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 12.7% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has induced opposing hitters to ground into 8 double plays in 26 opportunities (31%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Kyle Gibson when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .053 against Kyle Gibson with RISP this season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile. Opponents batted .364 (47-for-129) against Kyle Gibson with RISP last season — worst among qualified SPs– second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .053 (1-for-19) against Kyle Gibson with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz has a strike rate of just 53% (51/97) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 49% of Joey Wentz’s pitches (48/97) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Joey Wentz has walked 7 of 60 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (15/52) against Joey Wentz this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 5-4 (.556) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Orioles are just 0-5 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Orioles are 9-74 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Orioles are 32-9 (.780) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .652.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 7-34 (.171) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Tigers are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Tigers are just 9-76 (.106) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are just 10-40 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have just 83 strikeouts in 451 PA’s (18%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Orioles are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles hitters have 495 strikeouts in 2,017 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles are batting .301 against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (5,031 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .330 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (5,031 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (863 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .153 against Orioles pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .120 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 147 of 1,633 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Austin Hays (Orioles): Hand, Day-to-Day
Bet now on Orioles vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
